This is my new way of data collection and analysis
Acts that allow the Somali government both at local and
national level to legitimately use force to assure citizen security.
This is composed of two elements one is monopolization of
force utilization and the other is its legitimation.
I therefore ask two questions: a) is state's power
increasing or decreasing, state here refers not only to the central state but
also local states too; b) is state's legitimacy increasing or decreasing?
The Somali state in the short run can secure, as it
already did, in an indirect form, a case in point: the way the current
parliament and president was selected. In the longer run, four years from now,
hopefully, however, voting citizens will decide how legitimate the state is by
either extending its life or ending it, by means of vote.
If Shebab uses force in areas government controls, then
the government’s exclusive use of force in legitimate fashion decreases. The
same applies if it uses force in areas it controls that fall with jurisdictions
of Somali Republic.
Similar statement can be made if Shebab or their
supporters use force in the Republic of Kenya.
Research in east Africa shows state legitimacy is largely
determined by perceived citizen security, security here is not limited to
physical security but also economic and other forms of securities.
The concept of human securities comes to mind.
You will note immediately that the Somali state is not
able to monopolize legitimate use of force because of the arms embargo imposed
upon Somalia since 1990s. Recent attempts to lift the arms embargo did not
succeed.
The theory behind my data collection can also be
encapsulated into two fundamental political concepts: self-determination and
peaceful conflict resolution.
When people are allowed to determine their own political
fate, conflicting interests inevitably emerge. If not politically or legally
resolved, societies may descend to anarchy.
I thus ask the inevitable question: does the relevant society;
has its disposal political and legal means to resolve its conflicts peacefully?
If not, is it working to establish these institutions to
usher new era of lasting peace?
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